Berkshire Hathaway Stock Analysis 2026: BRK.B & Warren Buffett's Legacy
In-depth Berkshire Hathaway analysis for 2026. Examine BRK.B valuation, insurance float power, stock portfolio, and Greg Abel succession plan after Buffett.
Investing With the Oracle
There's no company quite like Berkshire Hathaway. It's not really a holding company. It's not really an insurance company. It's not really an investment fund. It's all of those things wrapped into the greatest wealth-compounding machine in American history.
Warren Buffett built this thing over six decades, turning a failing textile company into a $900+ billion conglomerate. Whether you should own it now—especially with Buffett at 94—is a fair question. Let's dig in.
The Quick Facts
| Overview | Details |
|---|---|
| Ticker | BRK.A / BRK.B (NYSE) |
| Market Cap | ~$950 billion |
| CEO & Chairman | Warren Buffett (age 94) |
| Vice Chairman | Greg Abel (designated successor) |
| Cash Pile | ~$325 billion |
| Dividend | None (never has, probably never will) |
A vs B Shares
Quick clarification: BRK.A shares trade at ~$650,000 each (not a typo). BRK.B shares are 1/1500th of A and trade at ~$430. Same company, B shares are just more accessible. There's no real reason to buy A unless you want bragging rights or have unusual voting preferences.
What Berkshire Actually Owns
Berkshire is really three things in one:
1. Wholly-Owned Operating Businesses
| Business | Industry | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| BNSF Railway | Railroad | One of North America's largest. Moves freight coast to coast. |
| Berkshire Hathaway Energy | Utilities | Huge regulated utility business. Stable cash flow. |
| GEICO | Insurance | Major auto insurer. The gecko is famous. |
| Precision Castparts | Aerospace | Aircraft components. Buffett overpaid, he admits. |
| Dairy Queen | Restaurants | Ice cream. Yes, Buffett owns this too. |
| See's Candies | Retail | Buffett's favorite business. Prints money. |
| Clayton Homes | Housing | Manufactured homes. Bigger than you'd think. |
2. The Insurance Float
This is Berkshire's secret weapon. I'll explain in the next section.
3. The Public Stock Portfolio
~$300 billion in publicly traded stocks. More on this shortly.
The Insurance Engine
Here's the magic trick that most people don't understand: Berkshire's insurance businesses collect premiums today and pay claims later. That gap—called "float"—is essentially free money that Buffett gets to invest.
The Float Concept
| What Happens | Why It Matters |
|---|---|
| Collect insurance premiums | Cash comes in today |
| Invest the premiums | Buffett puts it to work in stocks, bonds, or acquisitions |
| Pay claims eventually | Months or years later on average |
| The spread | Investment returns minus claims = profit |
Float Size Over Time
| Year | Insurance Float |
|---|---|
| 2000 | $28 billion |
| 2010 | $66 billion |
| 2020 | $138 billion |
| 2025 | ~$175 billion |
That's $175 billion in essentially zero-cost capital. Try getting that deal from a bank.
The Famous Stock Portfolio
Everyone follows Berkshire's 13F filings to see what Buffett is buying and selling. Here are the major positions:
Top Holdings (as of late 2025)
| Stock | Value | Portfolio % |
|---|---|---|
| Apple | ~$75 billion | ~25% |
| Bank of America | ~$35 billion | ~12% |
| American Express | ~$38 billion | ~13% |
| Coca-Cola | ~$25 billion | ~8% |
| Chevron | ~$18 billion | ~6% |
| Occidental Petroleum | ~$15 billion | ~5% |
Note that Buffett has been selling Apple and Bank of America in 2024-2025. He hasn't explained why in detail, which has generated lots of speculation. The cash pile keeps growing.
The $325 billion cash position is extraordinary. Either Buffett sees no compelling opportunities at current prices, or he's preparing for something big. The speculation never ends.
Understanding the Financials
Berkshire's financials are weird because of the accounting rules around their stock portfolio. Unrealized gains and losses flow through net income, making it volatile.
Operating Earnings (The Real Number)
| Year | Operating Earnings | Per Class B Share |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $37.4 billion | $25.60 |
| 2024 | $42.0 billion | $28.90 |
| 2025 | $47.0 billion | $32.50 |
Operating earnings strip out the stock market noise and show what the actual businesses are producing. This is what Buffett tells you to focus on.
Book Value
| Year | Book Value Per B Share | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $247 | +15% |
| 2024 | $282 | +14% |
| 2025 | $310 | +10% |
At ~$430/share, BRK.B trades at about 1.4x book value. That's not expensive historically, but it's not cheap either.
The Succession Question
Let's address what everyone thinks about: Buffett is 94. Charlie Munger passed away in 2023 at 99. What happens to Berkshire?
The Plan
- Greg Abel becomes CEO. He runs all non-insurance operations and has been groomed for years.
- Ajit Jain continues running insurance. Buffett calls him irreplaceable.
- Ted Weschler & Todd Combs manage portions of the stock portfolio. They'll handle more over time.
- Howard Buffett (Warren's son) becomes non-executive chairman, maintaining the culture.
Will It Work?
Honestly? Probably yes. The businesses are mostly stable, cash-generating operations that don't need a genius to run. The culture of decentralization and long-term thinking is embedded. But there's no replacing Buffett's capital allocation genius. That edge likely diminishes over time.
My view: Berkshire post-Buffett probably becomes a steady compounder rather than a market-beater. Still a good business, but less magical. The transition will probably cause a short-term stock dip—potentially a buying opportunity for long-term holders.
Why Own Berkshire
Despite the succession questions, there are good reasons to own this stock:
The Bull Case
- Diversification in one stock: You get railroads, utilities, insurance, consumer goods, and a stock portfolio.
- Cash optionality: $325 billion in cash means massive firepower if markets crash.
- No management fees: Unlike buying a fund, you pay nothing for Berkshire's management.
- Tax efficiency: No dividends means no tax drag. Gains compound internally.
- Defensive characteristics: Berkshire tends to fall less than the market in crashes.
The Bear Case
- Size limits returns: It's hard to move the needle when you're this big.
- Succession uncertainty: Nobody knows how post-Buffett plays out.
- Cash drag: That $325 billion earning T-bill rates could be deployed better.
- No dividend: If you need income, look elsewhere.
- Complexity: Understanding all the pieces is challenging.
Final Thoughts
Berkshire Hathaway is a unique asset. It's not exciting. It's not going to double overnight. But it's probably not going to blow up either.
Who Should Own It
- Long-term investors who want a "set and forget" stock
- People who believe in value investing philosophy
- Those wanting diversification without buying multiple stocks
- Investors who don't need current income
Who Shouldn't Own It
- Traders looking for short-term gains
- Income investors who need dividends
- Those who can't stomach Buffett eventually being gone
- Investors who want high growth
Suggested Allocation
| Portfolio Style | Allocation |
|---|---|
| Conservative, long-term | 5-15% |
| Balanced | 3-8% |
| Growth-focused | 0-5% |
I think of Berkshire as a bond alternative with upside. It's lower volatility than most stocks, compounds steadily, and has fortress-like financial strength. In a world of overvalued assets and uncertain markets, there's something comforting about owning a piece of Buffett's machine.
Even if the magic fades after he's gone, the machine itself should keep running for decades.
This is not investment advice. I own Berkshire Hathaway stock. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
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